West Virginia vs Maryland 9/17/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with West Virginia winning 56% of simulations, and Maryland 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. West Virginia commits fewer turnovers in 16% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. Maryland wins 52% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Andrew Buie is averaging 57 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. Davin Meggett is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MD -1.5

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